NFL playoffs begin with Super Wild Card Weekend, Super Bowl LVII prediction and notes

First and foremost, the two teams I predict to be at Super Bowl LVII in Glendale, Arizona, on Sunday, February 8th: San Fransisco 49ers versus the Kansas City Chiefs.

 The addition of a third Wild Card team in each conference and the subsequent expansion of the playoffs in 2020 has resulted in a Super Wild Card Weekend of NFL action. For the third consecutive season, there will be six games, with two on Saturday (January 14), three on Sunday (January 15) and, for the second consecutive season, one on Monday (January 16).

Seven of the 12 teams in action this weekend are new to the postseason in 2022, having missed the playoffs a year ago: BALTIMOREJACKSONVILLE, the LOS ANGELES CHARGERSMIAMIMINNESOTA, the NEW YORK GIANTS and SEATTLE. Two of those teams – Jacksonville (AFC South) and Minnesota (NFC North) – won their divisions.

The Dolphins make me cry, Miami Dolphins are taking their talent to the playoffs, Buffalo Bills with continued support for Damar Hamlin awaits

Since 1990, at least four teams every season have qualified for the playoffs after failing to make the postseason the year before. Additionally, at least two teams have won their divisions the season after missing the playoffs in 19 of the past 20 years, including 2022.

Each of the 12 teams playing this weekend hope to earn their first of four wins needed to capture the Lombardi Trophy. Winners in the Wild Card round have won the Super Bowl 11 times, including in each of the past two seasons.

The Wild Card round participants to win the Super Bowl:

SEASON

TEAM

SUPER BOWL RESULT

1980

Oakland Raiders

Defeated Philadelphia in Super Bowl XV, 27-10

1997

Denver Broncos

Defeated Green Bay in Super Bowl XXXII, 31-24

2000

Baltimore Ravens

Defeated New York Giants in Super Bowl XXXV, 34-7

2005

Pittsburgh Steelers

Defeated Seattle in Super Bowl XL, 21-10

2006

Indianapolis Colts*

Defeated Chicago in Super Bowl XLI, 29-17

2007

New York Giants

Defeated New England in Super Bowl XLII, 17-14

2010

Green Bay Packers

Defeated Pittsburgh in Super Bowl XLV, 31-25

2011

New York Giants*

Defeated New England in Super Bowl XLVI, 21-17

2012

Baltimore Ravens*

Defeated San Francisco in Super Bowl XLVII, 34-31

2020

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Defeated Kansas City in Super Bowl LV, 31-9

2021

Los Angeles Rams*

Defeated Cincinnati in Super Bowl LVI, 23-20

*Won division

— SUPER WILD CARD WEEKEND —

PASSING IN THE PLAYOFFS: A mix of established veterans and emerging stars make up the starting quarterbacks in the 2022 playoff field vying for the Super Bowl LVII title.

Tampa Bay quarterback TOM BRADY enters the 2022 postseason as the league’s all-time playoff leader in games started by a quarterback (47), wins by a starting quarterback (35), passing yards (13,049), touchdown passes (86), Super Bowl titles (seven) and Super Bowl MVPs (five). He is looking to become the first quarterback ever to win multiple Super Bowls with two different franchises.

Brady’s opposing quarterback on Monday night (8:15 PM ET, ESPN/ABC, ESPN2-Manningcast, ESPN+, ESPN Deportes) will be Dallas’ DAK PRESCOTT, who will be making his fifth-career postseason start. In each of his past three starts in the playoffs, Prescott has recorded both a touchdown pass and a rushing touchdown and can become the sixth quarterback ever to record both a touchdown pass and rushing touchdown in four career postseason games. Brady (five games) and Kansas City’s PATRICK MAHOMES (four), who will be in action next weekend, are among the group Prescott can join.

The players with the most postseason games with both a touchdown pass and a rushing touchdown in NFL history:

PLAYER

TEAM(S)

GAMES

Steve YoungHOF

San Francisco

7

Tom Brady

New England, Tampa Bay

5*

John ElwayHOF

Denver

4

Donovan McNabb

Philadelphia

4

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City

4*

Dak Prescott

Dallas

3*

*Active in 2022 postseason

 

 

Prescott can also become the first quarterback in NFL history to record a rushing touchdown in four consecutive postseason games.

In the AFC, Buffalo’s JOSH ALLEN will be making his seventh-career postseason start when the Bills host the Dolphins on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS, Paramount+). In both of his playoff games last season, Allen recorded at least 300 passing yards and four touchdown passes.

Allen can join MATT RYAN as the only players ever with at least 300 passing yards and three touchdown passes in three consecutive postseason games. He can also become the first player in NFL history with at least four touchdown passes in three consecutive playoff games.

— SUPER WILD CARD WEEKEND —

HEY, ROOKIE: Two rookie quarterbacks have an opportunity to start this weekend: San Francisco’s BROCK PURDY and Miami’s SKYLAR THOMPSON. This would mark the first playoff round since the 2012 Wild Card round (ROBERT GRIFFIN IIIANDREW LUCK, and RUSSELL WILSON) to feature multiple rookie starting quarterbacks.

Each player would be looking to become the first starting rookie quarterback to win a postseason game since Wilson in 2012.

The most recent rookie starting quarterbacks to win a postseason game:

ROOKIE QB

TEAM

SEASON

ROUND

OPPONENT

FINAL SCORE

Russell Wilson

Seattle

2012

NFC Wild Card

at Washington

SEA 24, WAS 14

T.J. Yates

Houston

2011

AFC Wild Card

vs. Cincinnati

HOU 31, CIN 10

Mark Sanchez

N.Y. Jets

2009

AFC Divisional

at San Diego Chargers

NYJ 17, SD 14

Both Purdy and Thompson were selected in the seventh round of the 2022 NFL Draft and can become the first two rookies selected in the seventh round or later or be undrafted to start a postseason game in the common-draft era. They can also become the fourth and fifth rookie quarterbacks selected outside of the first round to win a playoff game in the common-draft era.

The rookie quarterbacks selected outside of the first round to win a postseason game in the common-draft era:

ROOKIE QB

TEAM

SEASON

ROUND

DRAFT ROUND

Russell Wilson

Seattle

2012

NFC Wild Card

3rd

T.J. Yates

Houston

2011

AFC Wild Card

5th

Shaun King

Tampa Bay

1999

NFC Divisional

2nd

— SUPER WILD CARD WEEKEND —

SATURDAY NIGHT LIGHTS: Los Angeles Chargers quarterback JUSTIN HERBERT (24 years, 310 days old on Saturday) and Jacksonville quarterback TREVOR LAWRENCE (23 years, 100 days old) will each be making their first career postseason starts when the Jaguars host the Chargers on Saturday night (8:15 PM ET, NBC, Peacock, Universo).

Their combined age of 48 years and 45 days will be the sixth-youngest combined age of opposing starting quarterbacks in a playoff game in NFL history.

The youngest combined age of opposing starting quarterbacks in a postseason game in NFL history:

ROUND

GAME

QUARTERBACKS

COMBINED AGE

1985 Divisional

Cleveland at Miami

Bernie Kosar & Dan MarinoHOF

46 years, 152 days

2012 Wild Card

Seattle at Washington

Russell Wilson & Robert Griffin III

47 years, 2 days

1983 Divisional

Seattle at Miami

Dave Krieg & Dan MarinoHOF

47 years, 178 days

2000 Wild Card

Tampa Bay at Philadelphia

Shaun King & Donovan McNabb

47 years, 252 days

2019 Wild Card

Buffalo at Houston

Josh Allen & Deshaun Watson

47 years, 339 days

2022 Wild Card

L.A. Chargers at Jacksonville

Justin Herbert & Trevor Lawrence

48 years, 45 days

Lawrence was selected with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft and with a win on Saturday would become the fifth quarterback selected No. 1 overall in the NFL Draft to win his first career postseason start since 2000.

The quarterbacks selected No. 1 overall in the NFL Draft to win their first career postseason starts since 2000:

PLAYER (DRAFT YEAR)

TEAM

FIRST POSTSEASON START

Joe Burrow (2020)

Cincinnati

2021 AFC Wild Card vs. Las Vegas

Baker Mayfield (2018)

Cleveland

2020 AFC Wild Card at Pittsburgh

Alex Smith (2005)

San Francisco

2011 NFC Divisional vs. New Orleans

Michael Vick (2000)

Atlanta

2002 NFC Wild Card at Green Bay

 

The Jaguars won their first AFC South division title since 2017 after finishing with the league’s worst record in 2021. With a win on Saturday, Jacksonville would become the first team in NFL history to win a postseason game the season after finishing with the league’s worst or tied for the worst record.

Los Angeles running back AUSTIN EKELER led the league in scrimmage touchdowns in 2022, totaling 18 touchdowns (13 rushing, five receiving). In 2021, Ekeler tied for the league lead with a career-best 20 touchdowns (12 rushing, eight receiving).

With two touchdowns in the postseason, Ekeler will become the seventh player in NFL history to record at least 20 touchdowns in consecutive seasons, including playoffs, and the first since Pro Football Hall of Famer LADAINIAN TOMLINSON (2005-06).

— SUPER WILD CARD WEEKEND —

FIRST-YEAR COACHES: For the first time in NFL history, five teams that hired a new head coach prior to the season advanced to the playoffs – Jacksonville (DOUG PEDERSON), Miami (MIKE MCDANIEL), Minnesota KEVIN O’CONNELL), the New York Giants (BRIAN DABOLL) and Tampa Bay (TODD BOWLES).

All five of those coaches will be on the sidelines this weekend, with two facing each other. When Minnesota hosts the New York Giants on Sunday (4:30 PM ET, FOX/FOX Deportes), it will mark the fourth playoff game since 1970 featuring two rookie head coaches.

The playoff games featuring to rookie head coaches since 1970:

ROUND

GAME

COACHES

RESULT

2022 NFC Wild Card

N.Y. Giants at Minnesota

Brian Daboll & Kevin O’Connell

???

2009 AFC Championship

N.Y. Jets at Indianapolis

Rex Ryan & Jim Caldwell

IND 30, NYJ 17

2008 AFC Wild Card

Baltimore at Miami

John Harbaugh & Tony Sparano

BAL 27, MIA 9

2000 NFC Wild Card

St. Louis Rams at New Orleans

Mike Martz & Jim Haslett

NO 31, STL 28

— SUPER WILD CARD WEEKEND —

STREAKING RECEIVERS: Several wide receivers look to extend active postseason streaks this weekend.

Tampa Bay wide receiver JULIO JONES has recorded at least 50 receiving yards in each of his nine career playoff games, while Miami wide receiver TYREEK HILL has done so in each of his past eight. Jones can become the fourth player ever with at least 50 receiving yards in 10 consecutive postseason games and Hill can become the sixth player to reach the mark in nine consecutive playoff games.

The players with at least 50 receiving yards in the most consecutive postseason games in NFL history:

PLAYER

TEAM(S)

CONSECUTIVE GAMES

Julian Edelman

New England

13 (Jan. 11, 2014 – Feb. 3, 2019)

Gary Clark

Washington

10 (Jan. 10, 1988 – Jan. 9, 1993)

Jerry RiceHOF

San Francisco

10 (Jan. 1, 1989 – Jan. 17, 1993)

Julio Jones

Atlanta, Tennessee

9* (Jan. 8, 2012 – Jan. 11, 2022)

Wes Welker

New England

9 (Jan. 12, 2008 – Jan. 20 – 2013)

 

 

 

Tyreek Hill

Kansas City

8* (Jan. 19, 2020 – Jan. 30 – 2022)

*Active streak

Jones’ teammate MIKE EVANS recorded at least 100 receiving yards and a touchdown reception in both of Tampa Bay’s playoff games last season. With another such performance against Dallas on Monday night (8:15 PM ET, ESPN/ABC, ESPN2-Manningcast, ESPN+, ESPN Deportes), Evans will become the fourth player ever with at least 100 receiving yards and a touchdown reception in three consecutive playoff games, joining LARRY FITZGERALD (four games) and Pro Football Hall of Famers RANDY MOSS (three) and JERRY RICE (three).

Cincinnati wide receivers JA’MARR CHASE and TEE HIGGINS were each crucial in the Bengals’ Super Bowl run last year and look to have the same success in the 2022 postseason.

Chase’s 368 receiving yards in the 2021 playoffs were the most-ever by a rookie in the postseason. With 96 receiving yards against Baltimore on Sunday night (8:15 PM ET, NBC, Peacock, Telemundo), Chase will surpass Pro Football Hall of Famer RANDY MOSS (463 receiving yards) for the second-most postseason receiving yards ever by a player in his first two seasons. Only CHARLIE BROWN (643) has more.

The players with the most postseason receiving yards in their first two career seasons in NFL history:

PLAYER

TEAM

RECEIVING YARDS

Charlie Brown

Washington

643

Randy MossHOF

Minnesota

463

T.Y. Hilton

Indianapolis

393

Ja’Marr Chase

Cincinnati

368*

*In second season

 

 

Including the playoffs, Chase has totaled 2,869 receiving yards in his career and can become the third player ever with at least 3,000 receiving yards in his first two seasons, including playoffs, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer RANDY MOSS (3,189) and JUSTIN JEFFERSON (3,016).

Higgins finished the 2021 postseason with three consecutive games with at least 95 receiving yards. With 95 receiving yards on Sunday, he will become the fourth player ever with at least 95 receiving yards in four consecutive playoff games.

The players with at least 95 receiving yards in the most consecutive postseason games in NFL history:

PLAYER

TEAM

CONSECUTIVE GAMES

Travis Kelce

Kansas City

6* (Jan. 17, 2021 – Jan. 30, 2022)

Antonio Brown

Pittsburgh

4 (Jan. 3, 2015 – Jan. 15, 2017)

Larry Fitzgerald

Arizona

4 (Jan. 3, 2009 – Feb. 1, 2009)

Tee Higgins

Cincinnati

3* (Jan. 22, 2022 – Feb. 13, 2022)

*Active streak

Minnesota wide receiver JUSTIN JEFFERSON led the NFL with 128 catches and 1,809 receiving yards this season. With 91 receiving yards against the New York Giants on Sunday (4:30 PM ET, FOX/FOX Deportes), Jefferson will become the sixth player in NFL history with at least 1,900 receiving yards in a single season, including playoffs.

The players with at least 1,900 receiving yards in a single season, including playoffs, in NFL history:

PLAYER

TEAM

SEASON

RECEIVING YARDS

Cooper Kupp

L.A. Rams

2021

2,425

Larry Fitzgerald

Arizona

2008

1,977

Jerry RiceHOF

San Francisco

1995

1,965

Calvin JohnsonHOF

Detroit

2012

1,964

Antonio Brown

Pittsburgh

2015

1,953

Justin Jefferson

Minnesota

2022

1,809*

*Entering playoffs

 

 

 

— SUPER WILD CARD WEEKEND —

PLAYOFF LENNY: In five postseason games with Tampa Bay, running back LEONARD FOURNETTE has totaled 555 scrimmage yards (111 per game) with a touchdown in each game. Going back to the 2017 postseason with Jacksonville, Fournette has scored a touchdown in seven consecutive playoff games.

With a touchdown against Dallas on Monday night (8:15 PM ET, ESPN/ABC, ESPN2-Manningcast, ESPN+, ESPN Deportes), Fournette will become the third running back in NFL history to score a touchdown in eight consecutive postseason games, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers THURMAN THOMAS (nine consecutive playoff games) and EMMITT SMITH (eight).

The running backs with the most consecutive postseason games with a touchdown in NFL history:

PLAYER

TEAM(S)

GAMES (DATES)

Thurman ThomasHOF

Buffalo

9 (Jan. 17, 1993 – Jan. 2, 1999)

Emmitt SmithHOF

Dallas

8 (Jan. 23, 1994 – Dec. 28, 1996)

Marcus AllenHOF

L.A. Raiders

7 (Jan. 8, 1983 – Jan. 5, 1986)

Terrell DavisHOF

Denver

7 (Jan. 4, 1997 – Jan. 17, 1999)

Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville, Tampa Bay

7* (Jan. 14, 2018 – Jan. 23, 2022)

John RigginsHOF

Washington

7 (Jan. 15, 1983 – Dec. 30, 1984)

*Active streak

 

 

— SUPER WILD CARD WEEKEND —

MINING FOR PLAYOFF GOLD: San Francisco defensive lineman NICK BOSA led the NFL with a career-high 18.5 sacks this season. He became the fourth player since 1982, when the individual sack became an official statistic, to record a sack in 13 games within a season.

With a sack against Seattle on Saturday (4:30 PM ET, FOX, FOX Deportes), Bosa will become the fourth player to record a sack in 14 games in a season, including playoffs.

The players with the most games with a sack in a season since 1982, including the postseason:

PLAYER

TEAM

SEASON

GAMES

Trey Hendrickson

Cincinnati

2021

15

Robert Mathis

Indianapolis

2013

14

DeMarcus Ware

Dallas

2008

14

Nick Bosa

San Francisco

2022

13*

*Entering Wild Card

In six career playoff games, Bosa has totaled eight sacks, with at least half a sack in each game. He can join LAMARR WOODLEY as the only player with at least half a sack in each of their first seven career playoff games since 1982.

With two sacks on Saturday, Bosa can become the third player since 1982 with at least 10 sacks within his first seven career playoff games, joining Woodley (11 sacks) and Pro Football Hall of Famer RICHARD DENT (10.5).

The players with the most sacks in their first seven career playoff games since 1982:

PLAYER

TEAM

SACKS

LaMarr Woodley

Pittsburgh

11

Richard DentHOF

Chicago

10.5

Michael StrahanHOF

N.Y. Giants

8.5

Nick Bosa

San Francisco

8*

*In first six playoff games

CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY led all running backs with 741 receiving yards this season. In his lone career playoff game in 2017 with Carolina, he recorded 101 receiving yards and a touchdown reception.

With 100 receiving yards on Saturday, McCaffrey would become the third running back ever to record at least 100 receiving yards in multiple postseason games, joining TONY NATHAN (three games) and Pro Football Hall of Famer LENNY MOORE (two).

 

 

Photo/NFL/Twitter

NFL Communications contributed to this column

 

Author: West Lamy

My passport requires no photograph. Experienced play-by-play broadcaster and multimedia sports journalist with years of producing and covering sports. WORLDWIDEWEST is a journey; in this journey my feet don't get blisters, but my shoes do.

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